CBP guidance states that China-origin goods lost duty-free de minimis treatment from 2 May 2025 and that worldwide treatment was suspended from 29 August 2025, subject to the listed exceptions and later guidance. [1] [2]
What changed operationally
Businesses shipping low-value goods to the United States should review the entry method, duties, fees, product classification, country of origin and party qualified to make entry. Postal and non-postal shipments can have different procedures.
Legal guidance alone does not establish a national parcel-volume change; use a dated primary dataset for any market estimate.
Planning options
Compare direct parcel, consolidated freight and overseas-stock models using a dated landed-cost calculation. Treat any forecast about market share or volume as analysis, not as an established fact.